Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.455443 0.496522 0.541139 0.593464 0.653491 0.720615 0.801937
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.374412 0.432559 0.501469 0.590502 0.704548 0.848745 1.050037
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.324083 0.391042 0.475897 0.594489 0.761522 0.998054 1.378726
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.284336 0.354160 0.447186 0.585389 0.795753 1.124465 1.729372
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.262875 0.336884 0.440083 0.602500 0.869380 1.331535 2.321543
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.237449 0.310282 0.415100 0.586998 0.885936 1.446824 2.812996
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.213668 0.283114 0.385363 0.558207 0.871978 1.499108 3.201328
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.194408 0.260566 0.359836 0.531998 0.856351 1.542298 3.605584
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.185938 0.253182 0.356775 0.543064 0.913449 1.766438 4.799293
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.182221 0.252541 0.364141 0.573406 1.017091 2.154624 7.274650
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.173805 0.243722 0.356920 0.575356 1.059997 2.405793 9.791294
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.163985 0.231872 0.343362 0.563012 1.066988 2.555092 12.225524
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.154469 0.220236 0.329795 0.550230 1.073865 2.725027 15.838711
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.146495 0.210718 0.319350 0.542961 1.094915 2.971964 22.351090
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.140496 0.204083 0.313494 0.544614 1.141110 3.364974 36.974662
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.133679 0.195591 0.303480 0.535858 1.156480 3.647745 58.534072
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.130442 0.192961 0.304034 0.550577 1.245752 4.403869 171.561485
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.124102 0.184530 0.292875 0.536848 1.243285 4.663879 362.050640
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.116933 0.174273 0.277505 0.511483 1.197260 4.618764 550.738480
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.110525 0.165069 0.263632 0.488357 1.154380 4.571196 899.249718
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.108195 0.162960 0.263428 0.498114 1.226527 5.441952 NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.107708 0.164097 0.269702 0.524826 1.370837 7.279297 NaN
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.104770 0.160605 0.266343 0.526539 1.422147 8.440852 NaN